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Giving the first £10,000 | Rohan's Rambles
About | Oak Hu
Hello | Cath Wang
Eliezer's Sequences and Mainstream Academia — LessWrong
Don't Revere The Bearer Of Good Info — LessWrong
Some Problems for Bayesian Confirmation Theory on JSTOR
Some Problems for Bayesian Confirmation Theory on JSTOR
Sam Glover on X: "Seems weird that Leopold's fund has a massive put option on a semiconductor ETF? What's that about? https://t.co/6CNg6ikm09" / X
Illusory superiority - Wikipedia
Reading List - by Julian Stastny - Redwood Research blog
METR on X: "In a new report, we evaluate whether GPT-5 poses significant catastrophic risks via AI R&D acceleration, rogue replication, or sabotage of AI labs. We conclude that this seems unlikely. However, capability trends continue rapidly, and models display increasing eval awareness. https://t.co/fT7qtfJ7C2" / X
Lessons from the Iraq War for AI policy — LessWrong
Log in | Aer Lingus
Planning for Extreme AI Risks - by Josh Clymer
My AGI timeline updates from GPT-5 (and 2025 so far) — LessWrong
Low-stakes alignment — AI Alignment Forum
How can we solve diffuse threats like research sabotage with AI control?
Richard Hamming - Wikipedia
superfates on X: "okay what I did here was I took a data set of ChatGPT interactions collected in the wild and reversed the "assistant" and "user" tags. fine-tuned llama 8B on some of that data and gave it the ability to message you first. try it at https://t.co/GbRKrZDyLz 😊" / X
Phase transitions and AGI — LessWrong
Lonely runner conjecture - Wikipedia
Spearman's rank correlation coefficient - Wikipedia
Importance Sampling - YouTube
Importance sampling - Wikipedia
Cross-validation (statistics) - Wikipedia
Misalignment and Strategic Underperformance: An Analysis of Sandbagging and Exploration Hacking
Cracks are forming in Meta’s partnership with Scale AI | TechCrunch
Moral Progress Isn't Just Moral Circle Expansion
Building Black-box Scheming Monitors — LessWrong
An epistemic advantage of working as a moderate — LessWrong
Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works — LessWrong
California gold rush - Wikipedia
Fake thinking and real thinking — LessWrong
Sierra Nevada - Wikipedia
Sequoia sempervirens - Wikipedia
Monte Carlo - Wikipedia
Berkeley Marina - Wikipedia
Z-Library - Wikipedia
Wayback Machine - Wikipedia
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
I enjoyed most of IABIED — LessWrong
AI Optimism – For a Free and Fair Future
Win/continue/lose scenarios and execute/replace/audit protocols
Why it's hard to make settings for high-stakes control research
Why imperfect adversarial robustness doesn't doom AI control
Emil Ryd
Golden ratio base - Wikipedia
The Thinking Machines Tinker API is good news for AI control and security — LessWrong
The Science of Winning at Life — LessWrong
Against Muddling Through — LessWrong